Verdict:
Neutral unless the market breaks the trendline and support zone to the downside.
Plan of Action: wait for an initial 10 minutes. If it breaks to the downside, GO BEARISH.
As we discussed, Banknifty’s structure opened a gap down and fell.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is making Hammers at the top. Now, the market is in a very crucial position.
It is trading at the support trendline and support zone. The market is making a rising wedge pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it will be a good entry for the bearish position.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.7, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. 48500 is Max-Pain. If this level breaks, there is no support point till 48000. on the upper side, there is resistance at each level (48500-49000).
The bulls are very weak at this point.
All important levels are marked at the chart.
If we look at the FII and DII activity, the Pros are strong and bearish, and clients are bullish. This indicates the market is going to open a gap-down (probably near 200-EMA 15m-TF).
There are 2 cases right now.
Case 1: inside the channel Sideways. (Low probability)
Case 2: If it breaks to the downside, it is bearish. (High probability)
Reasons:
Verdict:
Neutral unless the market breaks the trendline and support zone to the downside.
Plan of Action: wait for an initial 10 minutes. If it breaks to the downside, GO BEARISH.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this blog post is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not a licensed financial advisor or professional.
Trading and investing in financial markets carry inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their research, consider their risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
The author is not responsible for any financial losses or gains that may result from actions taken based on the information presented in this blog post. All trading and investment decisions are made at the reader’s own discretion and risk.
Finnova© All Rights Reserved