Verdict: Sideways and Bullish.

Plan of Action:
Case 1: Sell 22000 CE & PE. Exit one leg if it breaks the zone. (hedge with 20/- PE)
Case 2: Sell 22000 PE (hedge with 20/- PE)

As we have discussed in our Video, Nifty is trading at its 200 EMA in 1-H TF, which has been providing very nice support.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the support zone. Also, 22950 provided a nice bullish pullback twice today, which indicates 21950 to be a good support level for now. The market is trading in a Bearish Zone right now. So, avoid naked call buying. You will end up losing theta.

If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.80, which shows that the market is bullish. 22000 has heavy CE and PE writing. CE writing was significantly more than PE writing, which indicates 22000 will be providing nice resistance for now. Looking at the OI change market, it is sideways.
Looking at the FII Data, we can say the market might open a gap-down.

I am expecting the market to be sideways for 1 or 2 days.
Case 1: Sideways in the range 21950 – 22050.
Case 2: Bullish if the trendline breaks to the upside.

Reasons:

  1. Price < EMA(13, 200) shows market is in bearish trend. Also, EMA(13) << EMA(200), which indicates the market needs some consolidation.
  2. RSI = 48, which is 40-60, indicates the market is going to be sideways.
  3. VWAP ≡ Price means the price is volume balanced. We can expect a move soon.
  4. PCR = 0.80, which shows a bullish sentiment in the market. On the other hand, the 22000 level had massive CE and PE writing. 22000 is going to provide good support and resistance here.

 

Verdict: Sideways and Bullish.

Plan of Action:
Case 1: Sell 22000 CE & PE. Exit one leg if it breaks the zone. (hedge with 20/- PE)
Case 2: Sell 22000 PE (hedge with 20/- PE)

Disclaimer:

The information provided in this blog post is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not a licensed financial advisor or professional.

Trading and investing in financial markets carry inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their research, consider their risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.

The author is not responsible for any financial losses or gains that may result from actions taken based on the information presented in this blog post. All trading and investment decisions are made at the reader’s own discretion and risk.

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